Minority Report

Wauchula, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hardee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 66°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—64°21%
US model (GFS)75°68°9%
European model (ECMWF)75°66°35%
German model (ICON)76°67°13%
Canadian model (GEM)77°66°10%
The average76°66°18%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 55°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°49°1%
US model (GFS)70°58°18%
European model (ECMWF)72°60°10%
German model (ICON)71°56°3%
Canadian model (GEM)70°54°10%
The average71°55°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°45°0%
US model (GFS)64°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°45°0%
The average63°46°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°57°1%
US model (GFS)72°50°1%
European model (ECMWF)72°49°0%
German model (ICON)72°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°45°0%
The average72°50°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.