Minority Report

Waukegan, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lake County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 26%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°36%
US model (GFS)44°36°9%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°10%
German model (ICON)43°37°55%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°19%
The average44°36°26%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 36%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°32°50%
US model (GFS)40°32°34%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°4%
German model (ICON)43°33°73%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°19%
The average42°33°36%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 4%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)45°31°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)47°30°15%
Canadian model (GEM)43°28°0%
The average46°30°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)48°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°0%
The average47°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.