Minority Report

Waukesha, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Waukesha County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°7%
US model (GFS)44°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°2%
German model (ICON)42°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°24%
The average43°33°8%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 6%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°28°7%
US model (GFS)40°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)41°31°0%
German model (ICON)42°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°30°19%
The average42°30°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average44°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°23°0%
The average46°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.