Minority Report

Waukon, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allamakee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 10%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°1%
US model (GFS)38°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°6%
German model (ICON)40°30°18%
Canadian model (GEM)39°31°24%
The average39°30°10%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°22°0%
US model (GFS)36°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°26°0%
German model (ICON)39°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°24°0%
The average38°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°24°0%
US model (GFS)42°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°24°0%
German model (ICON)42°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°20°0%
The average42°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°0%
US model (GFS)46°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°16°0%
The average45°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.