Minority Report

Waupaca, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Waupaca County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°2%
US model (GFS)41°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°10%
German model (ICON)42°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°31°0%
The average40°31°3%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°2%
US model (GFS)40°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)40°29°0%
German model (ICON)42°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°0%
The average41°29°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°4%
European model (ECMWF)43°29°0%
German model (ICON)44°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°24°0%
The average44°27°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)47°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°17°0%
The average46°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.