Minority Report

Waurika, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)76°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°49°0%
German model (ICON)75°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°45°0%
The average75°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°43°0%
US model (GFS)63°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°0%
German model (ICON)62°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°45°0%
The average63°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 43°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 83%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°44°90%
US model (GFS)61°42°76%
European model (ECMWF)57°45°95%
German model (ICON)57°42°97%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°57%
The average59°43°83%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 43°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°41°85%
US model (GFS)51°45°88%
European model (ECMWF)48°45°100%
German model (ICON)46°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°42°95%
The average49°43°94%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.