Minority Report

Wauseon, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fulton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 80%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°30%
US model (GFS)48°41°80%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°100%
German model (ICON)49°40°88%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°100%
The average48°38°80%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 31°   Rain 21%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 21%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°13%
US model (GFS)41°32°24%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°39%
German model (ICON)42°31°18%
Canadian model (GEM)39°29°13%
The average41°31°21%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°8%
US model (GFS)42°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°25°3%
The average44°29°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°11%
US model (GFS)46°39°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)47°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°26°2%
The average46°33°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.