Minority Report

Waverly, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bremer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 0°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°0%
US model (GFS)41°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°0%
German model (ICON)41°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°0%
The average41°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°22°0%
US model (GFS)39°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°27°0%
German model (ICON)40°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°25°0%
The average40°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°25°0%
German model (ICON)43°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°21°0%
The average42°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)48°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°16°0%
The average46°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.