Minority Report

Waverly, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pike County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 41°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°72%
US model (GFS)52°41°79%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°100%
German model (ICON)53°44°95%
Canadian model (GEM)52°40°95%
The average52°41°88%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 65%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°20%
US model (GFS)46°37°52%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°100%
German model (ICON)45°36°73%
Canadian model (GEM)47°32°81%
The average46°34°65%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°2%
German model (ICON)46°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°26%
The average46°32°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°2%
German model (ICON)49°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°0%
The average48°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.