Minority Report

Waverly, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Humphreys County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)61°40°14%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°38%
German model (ICON)59°41°13%
Canadian model (GEM)60°43°14%
The average61°40°16%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)45°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°0%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°0%
The average48°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°0%
The average51°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°1%
US model (GFS)55°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)57°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°27°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.