Waxahachie, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ellis County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 77° Low 51° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 49° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 77° | 51° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 77° | 53° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 77° | 52° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 50° | 0% |
| The average | 77° | 51° | 0% |
High 68° Low 49° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 69° | 46° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 51° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 68° | 52° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 67° | 50° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 69° | 47° | 0% |
| The average | 68° | 49° | 0% |
High 63° Low 46° Rain 49%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 64° | 46° | 57% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 45° | 27% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 47° | 72% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 47° | 76% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 65° | 46° | 14% |
| The average | 63° | 46° | 49% |
High 53° Low 46° Rain 95%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 45° | 93% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 46° | 80% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 46° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 45° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 46° | 100% |
| The average | 53° | 46° | 95% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.