Minority Report

Wayne, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wayne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 89%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 41 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 89%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°59%
US model (GFS)56°45°86%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°100%
German model (ICON)55°44°98%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°100%
The average55°42°89%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°51%
US model (GFS)46°38°40%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°98%
German model (ICON)46°37°75%
Canadian model (GEM)50°35°75%
The average47°36°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)46°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°10%
German model (ICON)45°35°10%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°14%
The average46°33°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°2%
German model (ICON)49°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°0%
The average48°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.