Minority Report

Waynesburg, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greene County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°41%
US model (GFS)49°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°100%
German model (ICON)50°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°95%
The average50°40°85%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 27%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°20%
US model (GFS)41°32°18%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°11%
German model (ICON)42°34°60%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°24%
The average44°32°27%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°21%
US model (GFS)43°34°14%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°10%
German model (ICON)44°33°25%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°44%
The average44°33°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 22%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°10%
US model (GFS)43°35°17%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°19%
German model (ICON)47°37°30%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°33%
The average46°35°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.