Minority Report

Weaverville, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Trinity County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 40°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 21%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°100%
US model (GFS)69°37°3%
European model (ECMWF)67°43°0%
German model (ICON)66°40°3%
Canadian model (GEM)68°39°0%
The average67°40°21%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 42°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°38°100%
US model (GFS)50°40°100%
European model (ECMWF)50°43°100%
German model (ICON)52°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°100%
The average50°42°100%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 41°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°100%
US model (GFS)46°41°63%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°44%
German model (ICON)50°46°35%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°63%
The average51°41°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 39°   Rain 99%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°100%
US model (GFS)46°42°97%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°100%
German model (ICON)51°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°44°100%
The average49°39°99%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.