Minority Report

Weiser, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)57°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°42°0%
German model (ICON)59°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°32°0%
The average59°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 39°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 83%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°36°91%
US model (GFS)62°39°54%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°94%
German model (ICON)60°41°88%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°86%
The average62°39°83%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 95 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°4%
US model (GFS)56°38°69%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°99%
German model (ICON)57°42°68%
Canadian model (GEM)59°31°88%
The average57°37°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 39°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 58%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°52%
US model (GFS)59°42°37%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°63%
German model (ICON)51°44°78%
Canadian model (GEM)54°31°62%
The average56°39°58%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.