Minority Report

Wellington, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sumner County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)63°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°41°0%
German model (ICON)62°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°38°0%
The average62°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°0%
US model (GFS)51°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°0%
The average52°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 24%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 24%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°38°36%
US model (GFS)51°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°17%
German model (ICON)54°32°17%
Canadian model (GEM)53°28°37%
The average53°33°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 39°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 55%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°51%
US model (GFS)47°40°51%
European model (ECMWF)47°42°43%
German model (ICON)46°40°49%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°81%
The average46°39°55%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.