Minority Report

Wellington, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Collingsworth County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°0%
US model (GFS)76°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°46°0%
German model (ICON)75°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°46°0%
The average76°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°40°1%
US model (GFS)60°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°0%
German model (ICON)57°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°0%
The average59°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 41°   Rain 95%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°41°92%
US model (GFS)57°40°90%
European model (ECMWF)48°44°100%
German model (ICON)51°42°93%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°99%
The average51°41°95%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 84%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°39%
US model (GFS)53°43°90%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°98%
German model (ICON)45°42°91%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°100%
The average48°41°84%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.