Minority Report

Wellsboro, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tioga County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 96%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°88%
US model (GFS)46°34°93%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°100%
German model (ICON)46°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°100%
The average46°33°96%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 31°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 81%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°27°58%
US model (GFS)35°32°57%
European model (ECMWF)36°33°100%
German model (ICON)35°32°95%
Canadian model (GEM)35°32°95%
The average36°31°81%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 17%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°30°25%
US model (GFS)38°32°19%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°22%
German model (ICON)39°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°11%
The average39°31°17%

Sunday, November 15

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 14%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°25%
US model (GFS)38°27°19%
European model (ECMWF)40°35°18%
German model (ICON)39°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°5%
The average40°32°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.