Minority Report

Wellsburg, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Brooke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 41°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 68 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 80%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°32%
US model (GFS)51°41°84%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°44°84%
The average50°41°80%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 14%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°14%
US model (GFS)43°34°7%
European model (ECMWF)45°34°5%
German model (ICON)44°34°28%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°14%
The average45°34°14%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°31%
US model (GFS)44°35°19%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°14%
German model (ICON)46°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°57%
The average45°33°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°10%
US model (GFS)45°34°18%
European model (ECMWF)47°41°24%
German model (ICON)49°38°15%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°57%
The average47°36°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.