Minority Report

West Bend, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 7%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°8%
US model (GFS)41°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°6%
German model (ICON)41°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°32°19%
The average41°32°7%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°28°6%
US model (GFS)40°31°6%
European model (ECMWF)39°31°0%
German model (ICON)41°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°29°0%
The average40°30°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°0%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°0%
German model (ICON)44°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°25°0%
The average43°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°20°0%
The average45°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.