Minority Report

West Branch, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ogemaw County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 85 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°11%
US model (GFS)44°34°55%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°96%
German model (ICON)43°35°95%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°95%
The average44°34°70%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 31°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°29°11%
US model (GFS)38°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°1%
German model (ICON)38°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°14%
The average39°31°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°8%
US model (GFS)42°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°0%
German model (ICON)44°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°30°0%
The average42°31°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°0%
US model (GFS)46°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°2%
German model (ICON)44°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°27°0%
The average44°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.