Minority Report

West Chester, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chester County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 46°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°70%
US model (GFS)59°48°88%
European model (ECMWF)58°49°100%
German model (ICON)56°47°100%
Canadian model (GEM)64°47°100%
The average59°46°92%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 88%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 88%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°79%
US model (GFS)48°34°75%
European model (ECMWF)49°35°100%
German model (ICON)47°37°88%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°96%
The average47°35°88%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 29%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°1%
US model (GFS)44°34°26%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°19%
German model (ICON)46°34°53%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°46%
The average45°34°29%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°2%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°0%
The average47°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.