Minority Report

West Liberty, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morgan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°51%
US model (GFS)54°44°89%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)54°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°44°100%
The average54°43°88%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 35°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°55%
US model (GFS)46°33°65%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°92%
German model (ICON)45°38°78%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°87%
The average46°35°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°1%
US model (GFS)46°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°0%
German model (ICON)45°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°10%
The average45°32°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°2%
German model (ICON)51°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°0%
The average48°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.