Minority Report

Westcliffe, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Custer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)60°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°29°0%
German model (ICON)58°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°34°0%
The average59°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 30°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°28°50%
US model (GFS)59°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°30°0%
The average57°30°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 68%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°70%
US model (GFS)46°33°59%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°90%
German model (ICON)47°35°53%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°67%
The average45°31°68%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 18%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°21°1%
US model (GFS)48°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)50°26°20%
German model (ICON)50°30°29%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°27%
The average49°28°18%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.