Minority Report

Westminster, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carroll County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 43°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 62%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°20%
US model (GFS)59°43°41%
European model (ECMWF)61°47°100%
German model (ICON)58°44°93%
Canadian model (GEM)58°44°57%
The average59°43°62%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 45%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°28%
US model (GFS)43°34°16%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°74%
German model (ICON)44°36°65%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°43%
The average44°35°45%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°9%
US model (GFS)45°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°3%
German model (ICON)46°33°20%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°29%
The average46°33°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°0%
US model (GFS)46°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°0%
German model (ICON)47°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°0%
The average48°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.