Minority Report

Weston, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lewis County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°70%
US model (GFS)50°42°67%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)51°44°100%
The average51°40°87%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 65%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°24%
US model (GFS)43°32°40%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°91%
German model (ICON)45°34°80%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°90%
The average45°33°65%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 19%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 19%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°16%
US model (GFS)43°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°10%
German model (ICON)44°32°30%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°26%
The average44°32°19%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 7%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°7%
US model (GFS)45°38°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°4%
German model (ICON)47°33°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°19%
The average45°34°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.