Minority Report

Wharton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wharton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 56°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°0%
US model (GFS)77°59°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°58°0%
German model (ICON)77°57°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°52°0%
The average77°56°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°54°0%
US model (GFS)74°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°53°0%
German model (ICON)77°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°47°0%
The average76°52°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 70°   Low 55°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°59°33%
US model (GFS)68°54°10%
European model (ECMWF)70°58°49%
German model (ICON)68°56°40%
Canadian model (GEM)77°49°4%
The average70°55°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 74°   Low 58°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°56°76%
US model (GFS)75°59°58%
European model (ECMWF)71°59°93%
German model (ICON)72°57°90%
Canadian model (GEM)79°56°77%
The average74°58°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.