Minority Report

Wheaton, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of DuPage County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°22%
US model (GFS)46°36°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°17%
German model (ICON)44°37°15%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°14%
The average44°35°14%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 7% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°31%
US model (GFS)42°32°11%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°7%
German model (ICON)43°33°25%
Canadian model (GEM)44°31°26%
The average42°32°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°0%
US model (GFS)45°29°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average45°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)47°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°21°0%
The average47°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.