Minority Report

Wheeler, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wheeler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)76°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°48°0%
German model (ICON)77°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°44°0%
The average76°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°1%
US model (GFS)58°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°0%
German model (ICON)57°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°0%
The average58°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 39°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°39°97%
US model (GFS)52°36°90%
European model (ECMWF)48°43°100%
German model (ICON)49°40°91%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°96%
The average50°39°95%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 83%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°36°40%
US model (GFS)48°42°93%
European model (ECMWF)44°41°100%
German model (ICON)42°41°85%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°95%
The average45°39°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.