Minority Report

White Plains, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Westchester County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 45°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°92%
US model (GFS)57°46°93%
European model (ECMWF)57°48°100%
German model (ICON)56°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)57°46°100%
The average57°45°97%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 93%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 93%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°94%
US model (GFS)46°36°75%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°99%
German model (ICON)46°32°98%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°100%
The average46°34°93%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°7%
German model (ICON)45°36°30%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°19%
The average45°34°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°33°0%
US model (GFS)47°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°2%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°31°0%
The average47°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.