Minority Report

Whitesburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Letcher County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°44%
US model (GFS)55°44°80%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°100%
German model (ICON)56°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°100%
The average55°42°85%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 36°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 84%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°68%
US model (GFS)44°36°63%
European model (ECMWF)43°38°100%
German model (ICON)44°38°93%
Canadian model (GEM)42°38°96%
The average43°36°84%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 49%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°18%
US model (GFS)42°32°8%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°87%
German model (ICON)42°35°68%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°64%
The average41°32°49%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°2%
German model (ICON)50°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°0%
The average48°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.