Minority Report

Whitley City, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McCreary County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°48%
US model (GFS)57°42°67%
European model (ECMWF)57°41°100%
German model (ICON)55°42°95%
Canadian model (GEM)55°40°100%
The average56°41°82%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°61%
US model (GFS)42°34°35%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°99%
German model (ICON)42°36°43%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°71%
The average42°34°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 23%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°1%
US model (GFS)45°31°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°38%
German model (ICON)45°32°45%
Canadian model (GEM)40°24°25%
The average44°29°23%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average49°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.