Minority Report

Wichita Falls, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wichita County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)78°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°48°0%
German model (ICON)76°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°45°0%
The average77°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°45°0%
US model (GFS)65°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°47°0%
German model (ICON)63°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°46°0%
The average64°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 44°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 87%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°46°93%
US model (GFS)64°42°80%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°100%
German model (ICON)57°44°89%
Canadian model (GEM)61°43°72%
The average61°44°87%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 44°   Rain 93%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 93%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°42°82%
US model (GFS)53°45°90%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°100%
German model (ICON)47°45°95%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°100%
The average50°44°93%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.