Minority Report

Wilkes County, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wilkes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 28 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 20%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°2%
US model (GFS)61°41°26%
European model (ECMWF)60°45°30%
German model (ICON)60°46°30%
Canadian model (GEM)60°39°14%
The average60°42°20%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°7%
US model (GFS)50°35°11%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°4%
German model (ICON)51°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°36°0%
The average51°36°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°3%
US model (GFS)46°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°1%
German model (ICON)46°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average47°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°0%
US model (GFS)53°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°24°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.