Minority Report

Williamsburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Whitley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 42°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°47%
US model (GFS)56°44°79%
European model (ECMWF)60°42°100%
German model (ICON)58°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°44°100%
The average57°42°85%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°65%
US model (GFS)44°34°50%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°100%
German model (ICON)44°38°53%
Canadian model (GEM)44°39°76%
The average44°36°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°4%
US model (GFS)46°32°6%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°44%
German model (ICON)45°33°43%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°35%
The average44°30°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°23°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.