Minority Report

Williamsburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Williamsburg city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 11%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°10%
US model (GFS)72°50°11%
German model (ICON)70°51°13%
Canadian model (GEM)71°48°11%
The average71°48°11%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 39°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°5%
US model (GFS)55°39°1%
German model (ICON)53°40°5%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°6%
The average55°39°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°35°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°1%
German model (ICON)51°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°34°6%
The average52°35°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
German model (ICON)56°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°39°0%
The average55°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.