Minority Report

Williamson, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mingo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 43°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°53%
US model (GFS)54°45°80%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)55°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°46°100%
The average55°43°87%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 38°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 74%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°62%
US model (GFS)47°39°52%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°96%
German model (ICON)45°40°68%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°90%
The average47°38°74%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 25%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°3%
US model (GFS)45°35°26%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°33%
German model (ICON)44°36°28%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°33%
The average44°35°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°0%
US model (GFS)47°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°34°4%
German model (ICON)51°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°34°0%
The average48°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.