Minority Report

Williamsport, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Warren County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 38%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°44%
US model (GFS)47°36°12%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°47%
German model (ICON)48°37°18%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°71%
The average47°36°38%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 36%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°33%
US model (GFS)42°35°14%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°41%
German model (ICON)44°33°23%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°67%
The average42°33°36%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°1%
US model (GFS)47°34°4%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°2%
German model (ICON)48°29°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°26°23%
The average47°29°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)50°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°19°0%
The average49°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.