Minority Report

Williamstown, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 56%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°44%
US model (GFS)54°39°20%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°84%
German model (ICON)54°40°40%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°91%
The average54°40°56%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 52%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°38%
US model (GFS)44°32°21%
European model (ECMWF)45°38°76%
German model (ICON)46°35°60%
Canadian model (GEM)42°36°67%
The average44°34°52%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°1%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°29°5%
The average45°31°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°0%
US model (GFS)48°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°25°0%
The average48°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.