Minority Report

Williston, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Williams County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)42°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°0%
German model (ICON)43°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°37°0%
The average44°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)39°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)45°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°0%
The average45°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°35°0%
German model (ICON)49°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°0%
The average51°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°35°0%
The average54°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.