Wilmington, DE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of New Castle County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 63° Low 48° Rain 86%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 41 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 59% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 51° | 82% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 48° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 50° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 48° | 89% |
| The average | 63° | 48° | 86% |
High 49° Low 37° Rain 82%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 35° | 68% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 36° | 79% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 39° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 39° | 81% |
| The average | 49° | 37° | 82% |
High 47° Low 36° Rain 27%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 36° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 35° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 36° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 36° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 38° | 47% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 27% |
High 49° Low 38° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 35° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 39° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 38° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.