Minority Report

Wilson, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wilson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 31% against a group average of 13%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)72°48°16%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°31%
German model (ICON)71°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°48°19%
The average71°48°13%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 41°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 22%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°35°20%
US model (GFS)58°44°13%
European model (ECMWF)56°45°51%
German model (ICON)58°42°15%
Canadian model (GEM)61°42°9%
The average59°41°22%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 42% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)54°35°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°42%
German model (ICON)53°33°5%
Canadian model (GEM)53°37°14%
The average54°35°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°31°0%
The average56°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.