Minority Report

Winchester, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°2%
US model (GFS)47°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°10%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°5%
The average47°33°4%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°23°2%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°0%
The average42°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°25°0%
US model (GFS)47°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°21°0%
The average46°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°15°0%
The average50°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.