Winchester, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Randolph County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 48° Low 38° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 68 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 66% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 39° | 32% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 40° | 91% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 39° | 100% |
| The average | 48° | 38° | 72% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 54%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 29% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 31° | 25% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 34° | 77% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 86% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 54% |
High 43° Low 29° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 32° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 28° | 2% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 24° | 2% |
| The average | 43° | 29° | 2% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 39° | 2% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 30° | 5% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.