Minority Report

Winchester, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Franklin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 41%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°11%
US model (GFS)60°42°11%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°66%
German model (ICON)59°42°30%
Canadian model (GEM)59°44°86%
The average59°40°41%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°1%
US model (GFS)43°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°6%
German model (ICON)48°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°0%
The average46°34°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°2%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°0%
The average49°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°1%
US model (GFS)53°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)54°33°0%
German model (ICON)55°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°24°0%
The average54°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.