Winchester, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Winchester city.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 61° Low 43° Rain 38%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 69 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 59° | 43° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 46° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 43° | 43% |
| The average | 61° | 43° | 38% |
High 48° Low 35° Rain 16%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 32° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 33° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 35° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 41° | 19% |
| The average | 48° | 35° | 16% |
High 48° Low 34° Rain 5%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 34° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 34° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 39° | 12% |
| The average | 48° | 34° | 5% |
High 49° Low 37° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 37° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.