Minority Report

Winfield, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Putnam County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 40 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°60%
US model (GFS)53°42°98%
European model (ECMWF)53°44°100%
German model (ICON)55°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°44°100%
The average54°41°92%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°28%
US model (GFS)46°38°44%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°94%
German model (ICON)47°36°75%
Canadian model (GEM)49°38°67%
The average48°36°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°1%
US model (GFS)46°33°5%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°18%
German model (ICON)45°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°14%
The average46°34°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°4%
German model (ICON)49°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°32°0%
The average47°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.