Minority Report

Winnemucca, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Humboldt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)66°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°38°0%
German model (ICON)64°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°24°0%
The average62°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 32°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 79% against a group average of 95%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°29°98%
US model (GFS)62°39°79%
European model (ECMWF)61°39°100%
German model (ICON)61°30°100%
Canadian model (GEM)62°26°98%
The average62°32°95%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 18%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°1%
US model (GFS)49°36°7%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°39%
German model (ICON)50°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°36%
The average50°32°18%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 24%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°55%
US model (GFS)56°43°18%
European model (ECMWF)57°36°6%
German model (ICON)55°31°38%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°3%
The average55°33°24%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.