Minority Report

Winnsboro, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fairfield County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 8%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)72°51°3%
European model (ECMWF)71°53°25%
German model (ICON)71°46°3%
Canadian model (GEM)71°51°10%
The average71°48°8%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°1%
US model (GFS)56°40°2%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°0%
German model (ICON)58°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°44°0%
The average58°40°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°0%
The average54°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.