Minority Report

Winona, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Winona County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 31°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 19%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°2%
US model (GFS)40°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°22%
German model (ICON)41°33°53%
Canadian model (GEM)42°30°19%
The average41°31°19%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°23°0%
US model (GFS)39°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°30°0%
German model (ICON)40°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average40°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°28°0%
German model (ICON)44°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°21°0%
The average43°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°22°0%
The average47°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.